Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.139664 2.030974e-01 0.276192 0.364457 0.466229 0.578253 0.709355
2026-01-25 0.058535 1.313378e-01 0.231799 0.368437 0.540186 0.741724 0.989754
2026-02-01 0.018952 7.986122e-02 0.183634 0.340865 0.552173 0.811408 1.140928
2026-02-08 0.002036 4.231134e-02 0.139059 0.305672 0.545366 0.851831 1.252554
2026-02-15 NaN 2.432204e-02 0.116438 0.294562 0.564784 0.920709 1.395208
2026-02-22 NaN 1.564199e-02 0.106829 0.300565 0.605896 1.016260 1.570326
2026-03-01 NaN 8.197711e-03 0.093694 0.297289 0.631646 1.090432 1.717792
2026-03-08 NaN 2.431924e-03 0.075651 0.280733 0.635036 1.133057 1.823907
2026-03-15 NaN 1.780740e-03 0.079299 0.306009 0.702470 1.262865 2.042769
2026-03-22 NaN 1.309755e-03 0.083257 0.331886 0.771025 1.394540 2.264555
2026-03-29 NaN 5.492604e-04 0.081956 0.346295 0.821429 1.501332 2.454285
2026-04-05 NaN 5.782734e-04 0.089949 0.380936 0.904321 1.653490 2.703707
2026-04-12 NaN 3.000077e-04 0.092959 0.406390 0.975450 1.793345 2.942589
2026-04-19 NaN 2.190597e-10 0.086125 0.409540 1.011115 1.884776 3.119607
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.067126 0.380561 0.992251 1.898342 3.193117
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.047563 0.343069 0.955664 1.884567 3.228785
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.038860 0.331247 0.961160 1.929903 3.342230
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.036432 0.337641 0.998547 2.021589 3.518133
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.031432 0.334151 1.017700 2.086368 3.657675
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.023414 0.316489 1.009722 2.110425 3.741566
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.026803 0.343441 1.085005 2.258632 3.995001
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.030373 0.370970 1.161421 2.408666 4.251160
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.030841 0.386273 1.215116 2.525015 4.461614